Ali Mosleh
University of California in Los Angeles (UCLA)
Presenting in Track 16: Safety Engineering, Risk and Reliability Analysis
Presentation Title: Risk Analysis with No Data: The Art and Science of Using Expert Opinion
Abstract: It is hard to find a risk or reliability analysis that does not rely on some form subject matter expert opinion, a fact that is often cited as a weakness and source of doubts about the credibility of such analyses. This talk examines the technical challenges we often face in using expert judgment and provides an overview of theoretical studies and empirical findings that can help address some of these challenges.
Biography: Ali Mosleh is Distinguished University Professor and holder of the Evalyn Knight Endowed Chair in Engineering at the University of California in Los Angeles (UCLA), where he is also the Inaugural Director of the B. John Garrick Institute for the Risk Sciences. He also holds honorary professorships at several universities worldwide. Prior to joining UCLA, Professor Mosleh was the Kim Chair Professor and Director of the Center for Risk and Reliability at the University of Maryland. He conducts research on methods for risk and reliability analysis of complex systems and has made many contributions in diverse fields of theory and application. He holds several patents, and has edited, authored, or co-authored over 800 publications including books, guidebooks, and technical papers. Dr. Mosleh was elected to the US National Academy of Engineering in 2010 and is a Fellow of IEEE, the Society for Risk Analysis, and the American Nuclear Society. Prof. Mosleh if the recipient of many scientific achievement awards and has been a technical advisor to numerous national and international organizations.